Tropical Storm Erin update

Tropical Storm Erin Update
Florida Division of Emergency Management
Published: Thursday, August 15, 2013 at 10:49 AM.

Summary as of Aug. 15 at 9:03 a.m.:

·         At 8am the National Hurricane Center dropped Invest 92L chances from a 70 percent chance for development to a 50 percent chance for development in the next 48 hours. This drop in development chances is due to the systems interaction with the Yucatan Peninsula.

·         92L will continue moving toward the West-Northwest at 12 mph with sustained maximum winds of 30 mph throughout the day.

·         Once 92L moves off the Yucatan Peninsula further development is forecast as the national hurricane Center has the system at a 60 percent chance of development in days 3 to 5.

·         Models are still flipping back and forth with the potential landfall location of this system. Model spreads have varied all along the Gulf Coast from Florida to Mexico. As long as the system remains weak it will be very hard for models to predict the track of 92L

·         Tropical Depression 5 was upgraded to tropical storm Erin at 8am this morning.

·         Erin has sustained winds of 40 mph as she tracks toward the West-Northwest at 16mph.



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