Tropical Storm Dorian update

Published: Wednesday, July 24, 2013 at 06:05 PM.

·         Dorian strengthened overnight despite moving over cooler waters. This indicates that the structure of Dorian is healthy, thus slight strengthening over the next several days is forecast. Note that Dorian has a 58 percent chance of being a tropical storm in five days.


·         At 11 a.m. on Wednesday, Tropical Depression 4 strengthened to become Tropical Storm Dorian. At 5 p.m., Tropical Storm Dorian was located at 14.6°N and 31.4°W which is approximately 505 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands

·         Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph with higher gusts. Some slight weakening is possible on Thursday as Dorian moves over cooler waters and drier air. Beyond that time, additional strengthening will be possible.

·         Dorian is moving to the west-northwest at 20 mph and this motion is forecast to continue over the next couple of days. Computer models are in general agreement and take Dorian west-northwest toward the Leeward Islands.

·         The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center keeps Dorian moving toward the west-northwest near the Leeward Islands while maintaining tropical storm status for the next 5 days.

·         Elsewhere, an area of low pressure designated as Invest 99L was located about 500 miles east of Bermuda. Conditions are expected to become more favorable for development as this system moves toward the north or northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

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