A mid level disturbance will move into the Southeast this afternoon, combining with a surface frontal system to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms later today. While this impulse is not especially strong, there is expected to be enough instability present across the region that some of these storms could become strong to severe later this afternoon and evening.
Late tonight, the cold front will move through the region ending the potential for strong to severe storms. Because it is still relatively cold aloft and plenty of instability will accompany this system, large hail is the primary severe threat today. An isolated damaging wind gust or tornado is also possible, but this potential is higher to the north of our region where the wind shear is expected to be stronger.
The greatest threat for severe weather, as shown in the image above is across Southeast Alabama and perhaps into Southwestern Georgia. It is possible if greater instability occurs this afternoon that the risk area of severe weather could be expanded further eastward and perhaps into North Florida. Even without more significant instability, a few storms could still be strong today in North Florida and South Central Georgia.
** Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop later today and continue into the overnight hours.
** A few of these storms could become strong to severe, especially across Southeast Alabama and into Southwestern Georgia.
** The primary threat from these storms will be large hail. Damaging winds and isolated tornadoes are possible.
If you have any questions, please give our office a call at 850-942-8833 or on our toll free line at 800-598-4562 and ask to speak to a meteorologist. We are available 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. You can also reach us on our Southern Linc phone at 1*77*284.