Flooding potential increasing this weekend

Published: Thursday, August 15, 2013 at 05:18 PM.

Based on the latest model data forecasts, the image below shows average forecast rainfall from Friday through Saturday across the region. Note that as discussed above, isolated higher totals are possible.

Impacts: Rainfall of this amount will likely produce flooding of low lying areas and flood prone areas, particularly in urban areas like Panama City and Tallahassee. Bay and Washington Counties in the Florida Panhandle are especially vulnerable to flooding given the recent heavy rainfall these areas received in July.

River Flooding Concerns: River flooding will become an increasing concern by late Saturday and into next week, especially depending on where the heaviest rainfall ends up occurring. Florida Panhandle: If the latest forecast holds, the Choctawhatchee Basin from Newton through Bruce would easily return to minor flood stage late in the weekend with the potential for moderate flooding from Caryville southward to Bruce early next week. The Chipola has some capacity for heavy rainfall, but if rainfall amounts trend higher than expected, minor flooding would be a possibility at Marianna and Altha early next week.

For the latest river forecasts check out the AHPS page: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=tae Summary:

** The potential is increasing for another heavy rainfall event Friday through Saturday. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are possible with isolated heavier totals.

** Flash flooding is possible due to continued saturated soils. River flooding is also anticipated in the days ahead.

** While some slow development of the disturbance in the Caribbean is possible, whether or not this system develops, heavy rainfall is still anticipated across the region.

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